Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.133338 1.345739 1.567925 1.816156 2.084304 2.363923 2.676267
2025-01-26 0.877577 1.182596 1.521616 1.919746 2.368531 2.853588 3.412581
2025-02-02 0.759064 1.116898 1.530948 2.032330 2.611583 3.250082 3.998064
2025-02-09 0.677583 1.079776 1.561835 2.160584 2.865977 3.655346 4.591472
2025-02-16 0.591748 1.021955 1.555601 2.234223 3.047813 3.970304 5.075787
2025-02-23 0.499812 0.943420 1.514214 2.257642 3.164339 4.205401 5.465252
2025-03-02 0.385280 0.818178 1.401707 2.183843 3.156831 4.289913 5.676015
2025-03-09 0.286116 0.698975 1.285447 2.095692 3.124068 4.338426 5.839499
2025-03-16 0.218371 0.615456 1.208717 2.050993 3.138734 4.438336 6.058670
2025-03-23 0.183224 0.579373 1.194483 2.085124 3.249355 4.651550 6.409981
2025-03-30 0.145987 0.532301 1.159909 2.088799 3.319095 4.813580 6.699242
2025-04-06 0.106137 0.470419 1.097504 2.050402 3.331953 4.903955 6.901133
2025-04-13 0.094368 0.467034 1.128568 2.147240 3.527568 5.228727 7.397119
2025-04-20 0.085731 0.469337 1.168874 2.258240 3.743624 5.581392 7.930250
2025-04-27 0.080360 0.477930 1.218533 2.381859 3.975640 5.953307 8.486096
2025-05-04 0.077839 0.493125 1.279008 2.521214 4.228867 6.352270 9.075622
2025-05-11 0.067221 0.484430 1.298728 2.601332 4.403572 6.653394 9.546657
2025-05-18 0.051265 0.455321 1.281699 2.626731 4.504773 6.862198 9.905258
2025-05-25 0.028204 0.389580 1.195382 2.546573 4.462226 6.888745 10.040188
2025-06-01 0.011655 0.324613 1.102191 2.450678 4.394444 6.880404 10.129810
2025-06-08 0.003992 0.281092 1.042902 2.401998 4.387535 6.946417 10.308012
2025-06-15 0.001733 0.266810 1.039528 2.439172 4.498330 7.162569 10.671579
2025-06-22 0.000208 0.243876 1.015975 2.443174 4.562215 7.317962 10.959523